Kauai among U.S. leaders of Real Estate Risk
As various research reports and newspapers have pointed out, the turbulence of the state of Hawaii’s real estate has sent it to the Number Seven overall in a categorizing of those particular states in the nation with the most severe mortgage related risk.
The origin of this specific information is largely derived from the LoanPerformance Home Price Index which was put together by the veteran firm First American CoreLogic.
This particular index, which is used by investors plus members of the mortgage finance & securities business to come up with an analysis of real estate mortgage collateral risk, ranked these states of California, Nevada, Arizona, Florida, Rhode Island and Wyoming higher than Hawaii overall.
As a general rule, mortgage risk is more intense in those markets where both property values plus economic fundamentals are declining, according to the report in question. Higher-risk areas might have larger amounts of foreclosure as well as mortgage fraud.
In addition to all of these factors, unemployment rates in the specific area also considered to be a primary factor as is wage growth in general. This seems like basic common sense but this firm seems to have developed this knowledge and refined it to a real science.
In terms of individuals islands, the Big Island may be the most unstable while Kauai real estate could be the most stable over time. One of the possible reasons for this is that Kauai real estae in particula benefits from a large influx of capital from Japa,
especially in certain Kauai resort communities like Princeville and Poipu, thus making it slightly more immune to national economic fortunes. Nevertheless, new house sales there have suffered although the median home price for Kauai real estate has remained
rouphly the same from this point a year ago, according to the Prudential “State of Real Estate” Report and 2009 Forecast for Hawaii which was released recently.
All in all, Hawaii has been badly wounded by a rather severe run-up in house prices plus the use of subprime loans, the firm has stated in their most recent report.
